Summer Weather Thread
Thursday August 20th Update
A bit of a revision to today's forecast. The models have come into a consensus, moving the heaviest rain a bit further north and putting us right on the edge. It's still only a chance of a thunderstorm, but should we get a thunderstorm, it could produce heavy rain and possible small streamflooding.
Today, sun this morning becoming cloudy this afternoon. Rain likely, possibly a thunderstorm. Rain from any thunderstorm could be heavy. The national weather service has issued a Flood Watch for this afternoon. High today in the mid eighties, overnight low mid 60s
Friday sun and clouds, high near eighty low mid sixties
Weekend showers, mostly on Saturday
Friday Aug 21st
Today, a bit of a respite. The rain has moved off and the sun will come out soon enough. High in the low 80⁰s, moderate humidity, overnight low mid 60⁰s
Saturday clouds are back with chance of afternoon showers with the slight chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. High only in the mid 70⁰s, low mid 60⁰s
Sunday's a tease, starts out with sun and clouds but then rain and a chance of a thunderstorm
The early part of next week is looking lovely, with lots of sun Monday - Wednesday, highs around 80⁰ and lows in the low to mid 60⁰s
max_weisenfeld said:
Friday Aug 21st
Today, a bit of a respite. The rain has moved off and the sun will come out soon enough. High in the low 80⁰s, moderate humidity, overnight low mid 60⁰s
Saturday clouds are back with chance of afternoon showers with the slight chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. High only in the mid 70⁰s, low mid 60⁰s
Sunday's a tease, starts out with sun and clouds but then rain and a chance of a thunderstorm
The early part of next week is looking lovely, with lots of sun Monday - Wednesday, highs around 80⁰ and lows in the low to mid 60⁰s
Good weather for the US Open next week.
Monday August 24th
The week starts out nice with a couple of sunny days with just a slight chance of showers or a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Rain returns in the back half of the week.
Today, sunny and breezy with a slight chance of a brief shower or thunderstorm this afternoon. Moderate humidity. High around 80⁰, overnight clear, low near 60⁰
Much the same on Tuesday, sunny, less breezy, perhaps an afternoon shower, around 80⁰ and 60⁰
Wednesday clear, sunny, around 80⁰, low mid 60⁰s, no rain
Thursday and Friday just a bit warmer and a bit more humid. Rain showers and a thunderstorm likely Thursday afternoon into Friday morning, high both day mid 80⁰s
Wed August 26th
Heavy rain on Thursday but otherwise mostly sunny and not too hot for the rest of the week
Today, clear, warm, not too humid. High mid 80⁰s, low overnight upper 60⁰s
Thursday showers and rain, heavy at times, perhaps an afternoon thunderstorm. High mid 80⁰s, low upper 60⁰s
Friday, mostly sun gives way to mixed sun and clouds, more humid, slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm, mid 80⁰s, low mid 60⁰s
Weekend looks to be clear, low to mid 80⁰s, not too humid, lows in the mid 60⁰s
In a sad bit of irony, the next tropical storm that forms is scheduled to be named Dolly
max_weisenfeld said:
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Needs a Sharpie drawing a storm path to Mar-a-You-Know-Where.
Remember to conserve water due to drought conditions. My grass hasn’t been this green in August in a number of years so don’t believe your lying eyes 
Friday August 28th
A decent weekend ahead
Today, chance of showers, mostly this morning. Then the sun just might fight it's way through this afternoon. High mid 80⁰s, humid, overnight low lower 60⁰s
Saturday, best day of the forecast period, warm but not hot, not too humid, and sunny. High lower 80⁰s, low lower 60⁰s
Sunday mostly sunny, warm and humid, high mid 80⁰s, low around 70⁰
Monday sun and clouds, mid 80⁰s
Tuesday and Wednesday looks like the rain is back
The best news though is we are finally out of the drought conditions
the_18th_letter said:
Remember to conserve water due to drought conditions. My grass hasn’t been this green in August in a number of years so don’t believe your lying eyes
sorry
Dolly would have wanted it that way. I saw that initial map that looked like a beeline at Puerto Rico and was thinking how horrible to potentially have another big storm hit. I know it was never projected to get that far as a hurricane, but it was still scary to envision.
Monday, August 31st
Dry today, then unstable weather for the rest of the week
Today, cloudy, warm, humid. High around 80⁰
Tonight, chance of showers after 6:00pm, low upper 60⁰s
Tuesday, hotter, humid, slight chance of showers in the morning, chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and especially in the evening. High upper 80⁰s, low overnight upper 60⁰s
Wednesday, showers likely, slight chance of a thunderstorm, humid, high upper 70⁰s, low upper 60⁰s
Thursday, chance of showers, then chance of a thunderstorm or two, high mid 80⁰s, low upper 70⁰s
Friday into the weekend could be nice, with only a chance of showers Saturday and temperatures in the upper 70⁰s, but too soon to be sure
What's happening this week is the same cold front could pass back and forth across the area several times causing instability with each pass. Generally we are on the edges of the worst weather this week, with NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) showing us in a marginal zone for storms as we sit at the southern edge of the westerlies, which bring warm wet tropical air into the northeast this week. (Marginal is even lower than slight)
At least the tropics are quiet and NOAA continues to forecast a farly quiet hurricane season
More flash floods? Why does it seem that every time we have heavy rains, there are cars floating in water in Newark or Elizabeth or rte 22? What’s up with that?
Jaytee said:
More flash floods? Why does it seem that every time we have heavy rains, there are cars floating in water in Newark or Elizabeth or rte 22? What’s up with that?
There is also a trend towards more frequent and more intense thunderstorms as our local climate shifts from temperate to subtropical
Wednesday, September 2nd
A couple more rainy days then the weekend should be nice
Today, chance showers during the day, becoming showers likely and a chance of a thunderstorm, mostly after midnight. High mid 70⁰s low upper 60⁰s
Thursday, warmer, showers likely in the morning, chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. High mid 80⁰s, low around 70⁰
Friday clearing, mostly sunny by the afternoon, moderately humid, high mid 80⁰s, low mid 60⁰s
Saturday, Sunday, and Monday sunny, less humid, highs near 80⁰, overnight near 60⁰, with a cooling north breeze
Happy Labor Day and remember to support your local unions!
Friday September 4th
A lovely weekend ahead
Today, warm and humid, partly cloudy and a slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High mid 80⁰s overnight low mid 60⁰s
Saturday mostly sunny, less humid, high around 80⁰, low around 60⁰
Sunday mostly sunny, high mid 70⁰s, low near 60⁰
Monday sunny, high upper 70⁰s low near 60⁰
The first half of the week to come looks to continue the nice weather trend
Monday September 7th
The next few days will continue to be nice, with mostly sunny skies, highs in the low to mid 80⁰s, and low humidity. A warm south breeze mid week and a chance of showers in on Thursday, and next weekend look fair, too.
Yesterday's humidity was insane.